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Kelsey Stevenson vs Ren Nakamura Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Stevenson vs Nakamura analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Kelsey Stevenson vs Ren Nakamura Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Stevenson has won 52.81% of points on his second serve, while Nakamura has won 54.79%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Stevenson, in recent form, has won 41.03% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nakamura has won 50%. The same stats for first serve returns are 25.7% and 26.57% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Stevenson has saved 57.89% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nakamura has saved 48.48% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Stevenson has won 11.11% of matches played (W/L 1/ 8), with Nakamura winning 46.88% (W/L 15/ 17) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Stevenson has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 47% (W/L 165/ 184), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 24% (W/L 8/ 25). Nakamura has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 67% (W/L 4/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 33% (W/L 6/ 12).
  • Player level: In the last year, Stevenson has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 12.5% of matches (W/L 1/ 7), where as Nakamura has played most of their matches on the Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments $10K, winning 50% of matches (W/L 15/ 15). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Stevenson winning 2 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Stevenson winning 4 and Nakamura winning 0. The last match between Stevenson and Nakamura was at the Kigali 2 Challenger, 03-03-2024, Q1 round, Clay with Kelsey Stevenson getting the victory 7-6(5) 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 0:42:40.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Stevenson and Nakamura have played a deciding set 0 times, with Stevenson winning 0 times and Nakamura 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Stevenson winning 1, and Nakamura 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Stevenson has played against opponents with an average rank of 0 while Nakamura has played against players with an average rank of 99.66.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Stevenson has won 0% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nakamura has won 13% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Stevenson has converted 41.67% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nakamura has converted 61.9% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Stevenson 2 - 0 Nakamura

Kelsey Stevenson

1

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

1

Minor

899

Rank

654

High

33

Age

R

Plays

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

N/A

Rank

High

29

Age

R

Plays

Ren Nakamura

0

Total

0

Mast

0

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

0

Minor

2

Total

0

1

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

L L L L L L L W L L

Form

L L L W W L W W W L

44% (186-238)

Career Total W/L

47% (169-194)

20% (1-4)

YTD W/L

50% (5-5)

$0

Career Prize Money

$0

0

YTD Titles

0

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Stevenson VS Nakamura H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Kelsey Stevenson Ren Nakamura
All H2H Matches 2 0
Sets Won 4 0
Games Won 25 16
Aces (Total) 4 4
DFs (Total) 1 3
Avg Match Time 0:42:40 0:42:40
1st Serve % 73% (48/66) 56% (38/68)
1st Serve Win% 71% (34/48) 79% (30/38)
2nd Serve Win% 78% (14/18) 53% (16/30)
BPs Won% (Total) 67% (2/3) 0% (0/3)
Return Points W% 32% (22/68) 27% (18/66)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (2/2) 0% (0/2)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (2/2) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (2/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (2/0)

Stevenson VS Nakamura H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(5) 6-3
cross
Kelsey Stevenson
Player
Ren Nakamura
73% ( 48 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 18 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
64
6-3 6-4

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Kelsey Stevenson Ren Nakamura
YTD W/L 20% (1/4) 50% (5/5)
Sets Win/Loss 20% (2/8) 52% (12/11)
Games Win/Loss 43% (44/59) 54% (115/99)
Hard Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 50% (2/2)
Clay Win/Loss 20% (1/4) 0% (0/2)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 75% (3/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.27 0.1
Aces Total 14 11
DFs per game 0.22 0.09
DFs Total 11 10
Avg Match Time 1:8:56 1st Match
Avg Opp Rank 0 84
1st Serve % 65% (168/257) 56% (162/290)
1st Serve W% 68% (114/168) 72% (116/162)
2nd Serve W% 53% (47/89) 59% (76/128)
BPs Won% Total 42% (5/12) 60% (12/20)
Return Pts W% 30% (78/257) 36% (100/279)
Slam W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Masters W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 25% (1/3) 0% (0/2)
Futures W/L 0% (0/1) 63% (5/3)
Best of 3 Sets W% 20% (1/5) 50% (5/10)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 33% (1/3) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set W% 0% (0/0) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 80% (5/4)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 20% (5/1)
1st set L, W 0% (4/0) 20% (5/1)

Kelsey Stevenson Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
Q1
cross
Franco Roncadelli
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
88% ( 52 of 59)
1st Serve %
60% ( 33 of 55)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
3
63% ( 33 of 52)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 23 of 33)
71% ( 5 of 7)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 8 of 22)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 24 of 55)
62
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
QF
cross
Akram El Sallaly
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve %
60% ( 48 of 80)
5
Aces
2
8
Double Faults
5
80% ( 39 of 49)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 34 of 48)
56% ( 19 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 17 of 32)
50% ( 1 of 2)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
30% ( 25 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 29 of 80)
87
Total Points Won
76
L
7-6(4) 7-6(1) H2H
Q1
cross
Kelsey Stevenson
Player
Ren Nakamura
73% ( 48 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 18 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
64
W
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Lucas Bouquet
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
85% ( 40 of 47)
1st Serve %
70% ( 39 of 56)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 31 of 40)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 23 of 39)
86% ( 6 of 7)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 8 of 17)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
21% ( 10 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 25 of 56)
62
Total Points Won
41
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
Q1
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
Q1
cross
Patrick Brady
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
76% ( 52 of 68)
1st Serve %
73% ( 67 of 92)
1
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
62% ( 32 of 52)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 42 of 67)
69% ( 11 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
30% ( 3 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
37% ( 25 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 41 of 92)
84
Total Points Won
76
L
7-6(4) 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Patrick Brady
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
57% ( 28 of 49)
3
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
1
74% ( 26 of 35)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 18 of 28)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
29% ( 6 of 21)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 2)
32% ( 18 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 25 of 49)
63
Total Points Won
42
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
Q1
cross
Aidan Mayo
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
59% ( 36 of 61)
1st Serve %
53% ( 30 of 57)
5
Aces
1
7
Double Faults
2
78% ( 28 of 36)
1st Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
44% ( 11 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
52% ( 14 of 27)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 22 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 27 of 57)
66
Total Points Won
52
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Tristan Mccormick
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
56% ( 45 of 80)
1st Serve %
59% ( 48 of 82)
8
Aces
7
9
Double Faults
1
82% ( 37 of 45)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 33 of 48)
49% ( 17 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 19 of 34)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
33% ( 26 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 82)
84
Total Points Won
78
L
6-4 7-6(7) H2H
QF
cross
Yuta Kawahashi
Player
Kelsey Stevenson
50% ( 6 of 12)
1st Serve %
70% ( 14 of 20)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
83% ( 5 of 6)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
67% ( 4 of 6)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
40% ( 2 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
25% ( 3 of 12)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
20
Total Points Won
12
L
4-1 ret. H2H

Ren Nakamura Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Noah Schachter
Player
Ren Nakamura
64% ( 47 of 73)
1st Serve %
48% ( 38 of 79)
12
Aces
7
3
Double Faults
1
87% ( 41 of 47)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 26 of 38)
42% ( 11 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
66% ( 27 of 41)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
29% ( 21 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
33% ( 26 of 79)
78
Total Points Won
74
L
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Ren Nakamura
Player
Miles Clark
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve %
78% ( 42 of 54)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 24 of 30)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 26 of 42)
67% ( 10 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
24% ( 11 of 45)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
57
Total Points Won
42
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
W
4-6 6-4 10-6 H2H
Q1
W
6-0 6-0 H2H
R1
L
6-0 5-3 ret. H2H
QF
cross
Ren Nakamura
Player
Antoine Voisin
51% ( 18 of 35)
1st Serve %
62% ( 28 of 45)
0
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
7
78% ( 14 of 18)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
82% ( 14 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
20% ( 7 of 35)
Rtn Points Won
60% ( 27 of 45)
55
Total Points Won
25
W
6-1 6-1 H2H
Q1
W
6-2 6-0 H2H
Q1
cross
Kelsey Stevenson
Player
Ren Nakamura
73% ( 48 of 66)
1st Serve %
56% ( 38 of 68)
4
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
3
71% ( 34 of 48)
1st Serve Won
79% ( 30 of 38)
78% ( 14 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
67% ( 2 of 3)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
27% ( 18 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 22 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
64
L
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
Q1
cross
Seita Watanabe
Player
Ren Nakamura
61% ( 25 of 41)
1st Serve %
60% ( 38 of 63)
7
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
4
88% ( 22 of 25)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 22 of 38)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 9 of 25)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
27% ( 11 of 41)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 32 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
42
L
6-1 6-4 H2H
Q1
L
5-7 6-3 10-7 H2H

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